Jay Clarke vs Sumit Nagal · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tampere • Clay • Jul 22, 2025 • 10:40 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Sumit Nagal
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jay Clarke
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,461 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,461 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.8 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sumit Nagal
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,951 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,951 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.0 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jay Clarke and Sumit Nagal are set to meet at the Tampere on July 22, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Clarke enters with a 26–9 record on clay courts in 2025, while Nagal has posted a 23–21 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Clarke entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nagal leads 3–0 over Clarke, including a win in their most recent meeting.