Jay Clarke vs Dane Sweeny · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 18, 2026 • 11:00 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jay Clarke
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jay Clarke
36% · 4–7 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,691 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,691 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Dane Sweeny
63% · 17–10 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,691 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,691 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.2 | 37% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jay Clarke and Dane Sweeny are set to meet at the French Open on May 18, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Clarke enters with a 4–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Sweeny has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sweeny, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.