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Match analytics

Jasmine Paolini vs Y. Yuan · Match odds & ELO prediction

French Open • Clay • May 25, 2025 • 5:15 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Jasmine Paolini

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jasmine Paolini

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,683 points across 71 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.961% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.082% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.168% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
56%61% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Y. Yuan

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

47%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,923 points across 41 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-4.933% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.383% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.517% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
30%33% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jasmine Paolini and Y. Yuan are set to meet at the French Open on May 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Paolini enters with a 13–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Yuan has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paolini entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Paolini leads 4–0 over Yuan, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Paolini and Yuan alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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