Match analytics

Jasmine Paolini vs Y. Yuan · Match odds & ELO prediction

French Open • Clay • May 25, 2025 • 5:15 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Jasmine Paolini

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jasmine Paolini

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,186 points across 67 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.163% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.979% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.876% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
64%79% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Y. Yuan

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,327 points across 37 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-5.017% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
1.417% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-7.00% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
25%0% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jasmine Paolini and Y. Yuan are set to meet at the French Open on May 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Paolini enters with a 13–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Yuan has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paolini entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Paolini leads 4–0 over Yuan, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Paolini and Yuan have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.