Jasmine Paolini vs Ons Jabeur · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 10, 2025 • 1:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jasmine Paolini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jasmine Paolini
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,683 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,683 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ons Jabeur
60% · 12–8 on hard
0% · 0–3 on clay
43% · 3–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,866 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,866 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.5 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jasmine Paolini and Ons Jabeur are set to meet at the Rome on May 10, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Paolini enters with a 13–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Jabeur has posted a 0–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paolini entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Jabeur leads 3–2 over Paolini, including a win in their most recent meeting.