Jasmine Paolini vs Anastasija Sevastova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jun 30, 2025 • 4:50 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Jasmine Paolini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jasmine Paolini
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,186 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,186 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anastasija Sevastova
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,730 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,730 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jasmine Paolini and Anastasija Sevastova are set to meet at the Wimbledon on June 30, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Paolini enters with a 3–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Sevastova has posted a 0–2 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paolini entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Paolini leads 2–0 over Sevastova, including a win in their most recent meeting.