Jasmin Ortenzi vs Julia Riera · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bogota • Clay • Apr 3, 2026 • 4:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Jasmin Ortenzi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jasmin Ortenzi
25% · 1–3 on hard
67% · 46–23 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,157 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,157 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 50% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Julia Riera
44% · 4–5 on hard
51% · 19–18 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,802 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,802 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jasmin Ortenzi and Julia Riera are set to meet at the Bogota on April 3, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Ortenzi enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Riera has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Riera leads 2–1 over Ortenzi.