Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • Jun 6, 2025 • 5:10 PM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Jannik Sinner
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jannik Sinner
93% · 39–3 on hard
85% · 11–2 on clay
89% · 8–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,724 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,724 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 8.0 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.5 | 100% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.5 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 76% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Novak Djokovic
78% · 25–7 on hard
75% · 9–3 on clay
83% · 5–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,355 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,355 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.2 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 90% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic are set to meet at the French Open on June 6, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Sinner enters with a 11–2 record on clay courts in 2025, while Djokovic has posted a 9–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sinner, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Sinner leads 8–2 over Djokovic.