Jannik Sinner vs Ben Shelton · Match odds & ELO prediction
Finals - Turin • Hard • Nov 14, 2025 • 1:30 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jannik Sinner
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jannik Sinner
93% · 39–3 on hard
85% · 11–2 on clay
89% · 8–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,859 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,859 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 8.3 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.0 | 100% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 73% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ben Shelton
64% · 27–15 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
60% · 6–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,637 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,637 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.3 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.0 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 73% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jannik Sinner and Ben Shelton are set to meet at the Finals - Turin on November 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sinner enters with a 39–3 record on hard courts in 2025, while Shelton has posted a 27–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sinner, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Sinner leads 8–1 over Shelton, including a win in their most recent meeting.