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Match analytics

Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP Davis Cup - World Group • Unknown • Nov 23, 2024 • 3:25 PM

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Jannik Sinner

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jannik Sinner

HARD

93% · 393 on hard

CLAY

85% · 112 on clay

GRASS

89% · 81 on grass

Games won (last 10)

62%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,724 points across 63 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
8.0100% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.5100% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.579% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
76%98% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alex De Minaur

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,854 points across 86 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.678% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.798% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-3.623% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
45%32% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur are set to meet at the ATP Davis Cup - World Group on November 23, 2024 in a tour-level singles match. Sinner enters with limited recorded results on tour-level courts in 2024, while Minaur has limited recorded results on tour-level courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Minaur entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sinner leads 10–0 over Minaur, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Sinner and Minaur have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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