Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 9:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alex Michelsen
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jan-Lennard Struff
36% · 5–9 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,821 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,821 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 64% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.3 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 37% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex Michelsen
63% · 12–7 on hard
33% · 2–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,504 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,504 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 50% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jan-Lennard Struff and Alex Michelsen are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Struff enters with a 1–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Michelsen has posted a 2–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Michelsen, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Michelsen leads 1–0 over Struff, including a win in their most recent meeting.