BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Jan Kumstat vs Thijs Boogaard · Match odds & ELO prediction

M15 Heraklion 3 • Hard • Mar 27, 2026 • 10:30 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Jan Kumstat

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jan Kumstat

HARD

48% · 1011 on hard

CLAY

63% · 1710 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

50% · 11 on grass

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Thijs Boogaard

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~437 points across 3 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.012% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.733% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+7.496% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jan Kumstat and Thijs Boogaard are set to meet at the M15 Heraklion 3 on March 27, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Kumstat enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Boogaard has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kumstat entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kumstat leads 1–0 over Boogaard, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Kumstat, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Boogaard has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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