Jan Choinski vs Jurij Rodionov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Thionville • Hard • Mar 7, 2025 • 7:15 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jurij Rodionov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jan Choinski
38% · 6–10 on hard
67% · 31–15 on clay
60% · 3–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~759 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~759 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.1 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jurij Rodionov
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,871 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,871 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +10.0 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jan Choinski and Jurij Rodionov are set to meet at the Thionville on March 7, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Choinski enters with a 6–10 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rodionov has posted a 25–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rodionov, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rodionov leads 2–1 over Choinski, including a win in their most recent meeting.