Jan Choinski vs Alexandre Muller · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 4, 2026 • 2:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alexandre Muller
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jan Choinski
38% · 6–10 on hard
67% · 31–15 on clay
60% · 3–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,628 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,628 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexandre Muller
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,382 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,382 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 40% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.5 | 89% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 72% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jan Choinski and Alexandre Muller are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 4, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Choinski enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Muller has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Muller leads 2–1 over Choinski, including a win in their most recent meeting.