Jan Choinski vs Alejandro Moro Canas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Girona • Clay • Mar 26, 2025 • 11:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alejandro Moro Canas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jan Choinski
38% · 6–10 on hard
67% · 31–15 on clay
60% · 3–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~759 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~759 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.1 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Moro Canas
61% · 22–14 on hard
50% · 19–19 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,068 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,068 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.5 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jan Choinski and Alejandro Moro Canas are set to meet at the Girona on March 26, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Choinski enters with a 31–15 record on clay courts in 2025, while Canas has posted a 19–19 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Choinski entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Canas leads 2–1 over Choinski, including a win in their most recent meeting.