James McCabe vs Shintaro Mochizuki · Match odds & ELO prediction
Jinan • Hard • Oct 7, 2025 • 11:20 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Shintaro Mochizuki
Key insights
Player performance profile
James McCabe
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,586 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,586 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 36% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Shintaro Mochizuki
0% · 0–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,226 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,226 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
James McCabe and Shintaro Mochizuki are set to meet at the Jinan on October 7, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. McCabe enters with a 27–29 record on hard courts in 2025, while Mochizuki has posted a 30–21 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for McCabe entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Mochizuki leads 4–0 over McCabe, including a win in their most recent meeting.