James McCabe vs Luca Castelnuovo · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Maanshan 2 (China) • Hard • Apr 11, 2026 • 2:30 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Luca Castelnuovo
Key insights
Player performance profile
James McCabe
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,586 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,586 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luca Castelnuovo
65% · 36–19 on hard
60% · 3–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
James McCabe and Luca Castelnuovo are set to meet at the M25 Maanshan 2 (China) on April 11, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. McCabe enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Castelnuovo has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for McCabe entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, McCabe leads 2–1 over Castelnuovo.