Match analytics

James Duckworth vs Jannik Sinner · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 22, 2026 • 8:00 AM

Hard

Key insights

Player performance profile

James Duckworth

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,654 points across 44 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.768% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.123% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.430% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
43%31% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jannik Sinner

HARD

93% · 393 on hard

CLAY

85% · 112 on clay

GRASS

89% · 81 on grass

Games won (last 10)

64%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,859 points across 59 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
8.3100% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
5.0100% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.166% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
73%94% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

James Duckworth and Jannik Sinner are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Duckworth enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Sinner has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sinner, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Sinner leads 2–1 over Duckworth, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Duckworth and Sinner have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.