Jakub Mensik vs Alexei Popyrin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Dubai • Hard • Feb 25, 2026 • 4:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jakub Mensik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jakub Mensik
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,569 points across 73 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,569 points across 73 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexei Popyrin
18% · 2–9 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,243 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,243 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jakub Mensik and Alexei Popyrin are set to meet at the Dubai on February 25, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Mensik enters with a 1–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Popyrin has posted a 2–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mensik entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Mensik leads 3–1 over Popyrin.