Jaime Faria vs Hubert Hurkacz · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 2:00 PM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jaime Faria
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,004 points across 38 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,004 points across 38 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 73% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 90% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hubert Hurkacz
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,159 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,159 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.2 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.8 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jaime Faria and Hubert Hurkacz are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Faria enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Hurkacz has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Hurkacz entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Faria and Hurkacz at the professional level.