Jacob Fearnley vs Taylor Fritz · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 8, 2026 • 2:00 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jacob Fearnley
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,051 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,051 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,150 points across 83 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,150 points across 83 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.9 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 38% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jacob Fearnley and Taylor Fritz are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 8, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Fearnley enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Fritz has posted a 1–3 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fritz entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Fearnley and Fritz at the professional level.