BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Jacob Fearnley vs Lukas Pokorny · Match odds & ELO prediction

Pau • Hard • Feb 18, 2025 • 8:05 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Jacob Fearnley

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jacob Fearnley

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,167 points across 49 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.220% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.071% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.288% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
67%88% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Lukas Pokorny

HARDSmall sample

50% · 22 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Match Overview

Jacob Fearnley and Lukas Pokorny are set to meet at the Pau on February 18, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fearnley enters with a 19–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Pokorny has posted a 29–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Fearnley leads 4–0 over Pokorny, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Pokorny, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Fearnley has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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