Jacob Fearnley vs Damir Dzumhur · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 5, 2026 • 9:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jacob Fearnley
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jacob Fearnley
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,167 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,167 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Damir Dzumhur
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,295 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,295 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.0 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jacob Fearnley and Damir Dzumhur are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 5, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Fearnley enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Dzumhur has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.