Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Vienna • Hard • Oct 21, 2025 • 6:35 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alexander Zverev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jacob Fearnley
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,859 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,859 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,343 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,343 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.7 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jacob Fearnley and Alexander Zverev are set to meet at the Vienna on October 21, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fearnley enters with a 19–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Zverev has posted a 31–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Zverev, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Zverev leads 4–0 over Fearnley, including a win in their most recent meeting.