Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 17, 2025 • 4:05 AM
Final score
0 - 3
Winner Alexander Zverev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jacob Fearnley
29% · 4–10 on hard
100% · 2–0 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,641 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,641 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.5 | 89% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~16,007 points across 101 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~16,007 points across 101 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jacob Fearnley and Alexander Zverev are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 17, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fearnley enters with a 19–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Zverev has posted a 31–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zverev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zverev leads 4–0 over Fearnley, including a win in their most recent meeting.