Match analytics

Jessica Pegula vs Oksana Selekhmeteva · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 23, 2026 • 11:30 PM

Hard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jessica Pegula

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,097 points across 75 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.893% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.570% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.259% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
59%71% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Oksana Selekhmeteva

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

62%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,233 points across 15 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.127% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.468% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.531% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jessica Pegula and Oksana Selekhmeteva are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 23, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Pegula enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Selekhmeteva has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Selekhmeteva, but the gap is not overwhelming. This will be the first meeting between Pegula and Selekhmeteva at the professional level.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Pegula and Selekhmeteva have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.