Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 22, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jakub Mensik
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,043 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,043 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 87% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.9 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rafael Jodar
86% · 6–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~438 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~438 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jakub Mensik and Rafael Jodar are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Mensik enters with a 1–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Jodar has posted a 6–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Mensik, but the gap is not overwhelming. This will be the first meeting between Mensik and Jodar at the professional level.