BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

J. Cristian vs Elena Rybakina · Match odds & ELO prediction

Wuhan • Hard • Oct 8, 2025 • 1:40 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Elena Rybakina

Key insights

Player performance profile

J. Cristian

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,853 points across 56 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-5.017% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.6100% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
-2.367% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
50%83% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Elena Rybakina

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,339 points across 85 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
7.5100% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.335% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.269% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
59%71% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

J. Cristian and Elena Rybakina are set to meet at the Wuhan on October 8, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Cristian enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2025, while Rybakina has posted a 42–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cristian entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 3–1 over Cristian, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Rybakina, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Cristian has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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