J. Cristian vs Daria Kasatkina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Strasbourg • Clay • May 21, 2026 • 10:45 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner J. Cristian
Key insights
Player performance profile
J. Cristian
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,297 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,297 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.9 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 100% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 100% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
J. Cristian and Daria Kasatkina are set to meet at the Strasbourg on May 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Cristian enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Kasatkina has posted a 5–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kasatkina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kasatkina leads 2–1 over Cristian.