Match analytics
Ivan Denisov vs Luca Castagnola · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tampere • Clay • Jul 20, 2025 • 8:10 AM
Clay
On clay courts, Castagnola holds a modest advantage, combining a higher surface Elo with stronger 2025 results.
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Luca Castagnola
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ivan Denisov
HARD
33% · 2–4 on hard
CLAY
38% · 6–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Luca Castagnola
HARD
46% · 16–19 on hard
CLAY
50% · 13–13 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Ivan Denisov and Luca Castagnola are set to meet at the Tampere on July 20, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Denisov enters with a 6–10 record on clay courts in 2025, while Castagnola has posted a 13–13 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Castagnola, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Castagnola leads 1–0 over Denisov, including a win in their most recent meeting.
Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Denisov and Castagnola alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.