Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 27, 2025 • 11:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jasmine Paolini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Iva Jovic
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,345 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,345 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.4 | 89% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jasmine Paolini
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,683 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,683 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Iva Jovic and Jasmine Paolini are set to meet at the US Open on August 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Jovic enters with a 24–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Paolini has posted a 27–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paolini entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Paolini leads 2–1 over Jovic.