BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Ilya Ivashka vs Dane Sweeny · Match odds & ELO prediction

Busan • Hard • Apr 14, 2026 • 3:50 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Ilya Ivashka

Key insights

Player performance profile

Ilya Ivashka

HARD

55% · 119 on hard

GRASSSmall sample

50% · 11 on grass

Games won (last 10)

61%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.038% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.084% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.048% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Dane Sweeny

HARD

63% · 1710 on hard

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,691 points across 11 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-0.925% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
1.093% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.237% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Ilya Ivashka and Dane Sweeny are set to meet at the Busan on April 14, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Ivashka enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Sweeny has posted a 17–10 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sweeny entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ivashka leads 1–0 over Sweeny, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Ivashka, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Sweeny has gone 2–3 over the same span.
Loading value signal…