Ilia Simakin vs Liam Draxl · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 18, 2026 • 8:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Liam Draxl
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ilia Simakin
66% · 43–22 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~240 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~240 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Liam Draxl
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,557 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,557 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 19% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ilia Simakin and Liam Draxl are set to meet at the French Open on May 18, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Simakin enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Draxl has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Simakin entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Draxl leads 1–0 over Simakin, including a win in their most recent meeting.