Igor Marcondes vs Gustavo Heide · Match odds & ELO prediction
Brasilia 2 • Clay • Mar 4, 2026 • 6:15 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Gustavo Heide
Key insights
Player performance profile
Igor Marcondes
82% · 28–6 on hard
67% · 16–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~145 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~145 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 87% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.3 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gustavo Heide
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,507 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,507 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Igor Marcondes and Gustavo Heide are set to meet at the Brasilia 2 on March 4, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Marcondes enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Heide has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Heide entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Heide leads 3–0 over Marcondes, including a win in their most recent meeting.