Ignacio Buse vs Niels McDonald · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hamburg • Clay • May 16, 2026 • 11:00 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Ignacio Buse
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ignacio Buse
60% · 3–2 on hard
50% · 8–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,227 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,227 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.8 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 9% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Niels McDonald
0% · 0–5 on hard
62% · 8–5 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ignacio Buse and Niels McDonald are set to meet at the Hamburg on May 16, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Buse enters with a 8–8 record on clay courts in 2026, while McDonald has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Buse entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Buse leads 1–0 over McDonald, including a win in their most recent meeting.