Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkari · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Doha • Hard • Feb 12, 2026 • 2:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Maria Sakkari
Key insights
Player performance profile
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
67%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,001 points across 95 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,001 points across 95 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.6 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Maria Sakkari
57% · 8–6 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,056 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,056 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 62% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Iga Swiatek and Maria Sakkari are set to meet at the WTA Doha on February 12, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Swiatek enters with a 3–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Sakkari has posted a 8–6 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Swiatek entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 5–3 over Sakkari, including a win in their most recent meeting.