Iga Swiatek vs Karolina Muchova · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA United Cup • Hard • Jan 1, 2025 • 1:50 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Iga Swiatek
Key insights
Player performance profile
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,028 points across 88 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,028 points across 88 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karolina Muchova
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,235 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,235 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.2 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Iga Swiatek and Karolina Muchova are set to meet at the WTA United Cup on January 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Swiatek enters with a 41–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Muchova has posted a 25–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Swiatek, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 5–0 over Muchova, including a win in their most recent meeting.