Iga Swiatek vs Karolina Muchova · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA United Cup • Hard • Jan 1, 2025 • 1:50 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Iga Swiatek
Key insights
Player performance profile
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
67%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,001 points across 95 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,001 points across 95 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.6 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karolina Muchova
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,642 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,642 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.1 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Iga Swiatek and Karolina Muchova are set to meet at the WTA United Cup on January 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Swiatek enters with a 41–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Muchova has posted a 25–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Swiatek, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 5–0 over Muchova, including a win in their most recent meeting.