Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Finals - Riyadh • Hard • Nov 3, 2025 • 2:15 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Elena Rybakina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,101 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,101 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,252 points across 78 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,252 points across 78 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.6 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina are set to meet at the Finals - Riyadh on November 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Swiatek enters with a 41–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rybakina has posted a 42–13 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 7–3 over Rybakina.