Iga Swiatek vs Daria Kasatkina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Finals - Riyadh • Hard • Nov 7, 2024 • 12:45 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Iga Swiatek
Key insights
Player performance profile
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
67%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,001 points across 95 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,001 points across 95 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.6 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,499 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,499 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Iga Swiatek and Daria Kasatkina are set to meet at the Finals - Riyadh on November 7, 2024 in a hard-court singles match. Swiatek enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2024, while Kasatkina has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Swiatek entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 7–1 over Kasatkina, including a win in their most recent meeting.