Iga Swiatek vs Belinda Bencic · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA United Cup • Hard • Jan 11, 2026 • 6:35 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Belinda Bencic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,749 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,749 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.7 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.6 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Belinda Bencic
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,052 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,052 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 87% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.3 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 86% | 96% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Iga Swiatek and Belinda Bencic are set to meet at the WTA United Cup on January 11, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Swiatek enters with a 3–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bencic has posted a 5–0 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 4–2 over Bencic.