Iga Swiatek vs Belinda Bencic · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA United Cup • Hard • Jan 11, 2026 • 6:35 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Belinda Bencic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
67%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,001 points across 95 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,001 points across 95 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.6 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Belinda Bencic
75% · 12–4 on hard
67% · 4–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,007 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,007 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 88% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.9 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 76% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Iga Swiatek and Belinda Bencic are set to meet at the WTA United Cup on January 11, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Swiatek enters with a 3–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bencic has posted a 12–4 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Swiatek, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 4–2 over Bencic.