Iga Swiatek vs Anna Kalinskaya · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cincinnati • Hard • Aug 15, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Iga Swiatek
Key insights
Player performance profile
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,749 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,749 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.7 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.6 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anna Kalinskaya
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,093 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,093 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Iga Swiatek and Anna Kalinskaya are set to meet at the Cincinnati on August 15, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Swiatek enters with a 41–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kalinskaya has posted a 19–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kalinskaya, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 3–1 over Kalinskaya, including a win in their most recent meeting.