BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 10:25 AM

Clay

Key insights

Player performance profile

Ignacio Buse

HARD

47% · 78 on hard

CLAY

67% · 3919 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

0% · 01 on grass

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,620 points across 23 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.443% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.973% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-3.522% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%16% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Adrian Mannarino

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,215 points across 56 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.340% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.776% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-3.718% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%13% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Ignacio Buse and Adrian Mannarino are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Buse enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Mannarino has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mannarino entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Buse and Mannarino at the professional level.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Buse and Mannarino alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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