I. Bara vs Arina Rodionova · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Charlottesville, VA • Clay • Apr 24, 2025 • 4:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner I. Bara
Key insights
Player performance profile
I. Bara
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~251 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~251 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.5 | 100% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.5 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arina Rodionova
56% · 20–16 on hard
44% · 7–9 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,499 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,499 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
I. Bara and Arina Rodionova are set to meet at the W100 Charlottesville, VA on April 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Bara enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2025, while Rodionova has posted a 7–9 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rodionova, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.