Hugo Grenier vs Luca Nardi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Chisinau • Hard • May 25, 2026 • 1:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Luca Nardi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hugo Grenier
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,177 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,177 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 21% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luca Nardi
47% · 8–9 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.3 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hugo Grenier and Luca Nardi are set to meet at the Chisinau on May 25, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Grenier enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Nardi has posted a 8–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nardi entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nardi leads 3–0 over Grenier, including a win in their most recent meeting.