Hugo Gaston vs Shintaro Mochizuki · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 26, 2025 • 7:40 PM
Final score
0 - 3
Winner Shintaro Mochizuki
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hugo Gaston
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,849 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,849 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 15% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Shintaro Mochizuki
0% · 0–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,226 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,226 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hugo Gaston and Shintaro Mochizuki are set to meet at the US Open on August 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Gaston enters with a 24–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Mochizuki has posted a 30–21 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gaston entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Mochizuki leads 2–1 over Gaston, including a win in their most recent meeting.