Hugo Gaston vs Otto Virtanen · Match odds & ELO prediction
Roanne • Hard • Oct 12, 2025 • 1:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Otto Virtanen
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hugo Gaston
56% · 9–7 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 12% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Otto Virtanen
67% · 8–4 on hard
29% · 2–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,782 points across 31 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,782 points across 31 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hugo Gaston and Otto Virtanen are set to meet at the Roanne on October 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Gaston enters with a 24–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Virtanen has posted a 16–15 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Gaston leads 2–1 over Virtanen.