Hubert Hurkacz vs Novak Djokovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Geneva • Clay • May 24, 2025 • 1:15 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Novak Djokovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hubert Hurkacz
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,869 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,869 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.9 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Novak Djokovic
78% · 25–7 on hard
75% · 9–3 on clay
83% · 5–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,962 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,962 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.2 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hubert Hurkacz and Novak Djokovic are set to meet at the Geneva on May 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Hurkacz enters with a 7–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Djokovic has posted a 9–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Djokovic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Djokovic leads 6–0 over Hurkacz, including a win in their most recent meeting.