Hubert Hurkacz vs Novak Djokovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Geneva • Clay • May 24, 2025 • 1:15 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Novak Djokovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hubert Hurkacz
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,159 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,159 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.2 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.8 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Novak Djokovic
78% · 25–7 on hard
75% · 9–3 on clay
83% · 5–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,813 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,813 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.1 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 85% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hubert Hurkacz and Novak Djokovic are set to meet at the Geneva on May 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Hurkacz enters with a 7–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Djokovic has posted a 9–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Djokovic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Djokovic leads 6–0 over Hurkacz, including a win in their most recent meeting.