Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbert · Match odds & ELO prediction
Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 9, 2025 • 10:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Holger Rune
Key insights
Player performance profile
Holger Rune
64% · 23–13 on hard
64% · 9–5 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,805 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,805 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ugo Humbert
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,672 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,672 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.2 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.1 | 75% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 90% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Holger Rune and Ugo Humbert are set to meet at the Indian Wells on March 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rune enters with a 23–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Humbert has posted a 18–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Humbert entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rune leads 5–0 over Humbert, including a win in their most recent meeting.