Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena · Match odds & ELO prediction
Acapulco • Hard • Feb 26, 2025 • 12:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Holger Rune
Key insights
Player performance profile
Holger Rune
64% · 23–13 on hard
64% · 9–5 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,805 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,805 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Roberto Carballes Baena
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,281 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,281 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 37% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Holger Rune and Roberto Carballes Baena are set to meet at the Acapulco on February 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rune enters with a 23–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Baena has posted a 7–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Baena entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.