Holger Rune vs Casper Ruud · Match odds & ELO prediction
Barcelona • Clay • Apr 18, 2025 • 11:25 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Holger Rune
Key insights
Player performance profile
Holger Rune
64% · 23–13 on hard
64% · 9–5 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,805 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,805 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Casper Ruud
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,710 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,710 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 87% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.5 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 65% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Holger Rune and Casper Ruud are set to meet at the Barcelona on April 18, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rune enters with a 9–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Ruud has posted a 14–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Ruud leads 5–2 over Rune.