Henrique Rocha vs Alejandro Moro Canas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Porto • Hard • Aug 1, 2025 • 10:15 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alejandro Moro Canas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Henrique Rocha
20% · 1–4 on hard
70% · 16–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,845 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,845 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 59% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.5 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 25% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Moro Canas
57% · 8–6 on hard
46% · 6–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,325 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,325 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Henrique Rocha and Alejandro Moro Canas are set to meet at the Porto on August 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rocha enters with a 17–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Canas has posted a 22–14 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Canas leads 4–0 over Rocha, including a win in their most recent meeting.