Henrique Rocha vs Alejandro Moro Canas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Porto • Hard • Aug 1, 2025 • 10:15 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alejandro Moro Canas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Henrique Rocha
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,154 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,154 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 49% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.9 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 24% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Moro Canas
61% · 22–14 on hard
50% · 19–19 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,068 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,068 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.5 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Henrique Rocha and Alejandro Moro Canas are set to meet at the Porto on August 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rocha enters with a 17–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Canas has posted a 22–14 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Canas leads 4–0 over Rocha, including a win in their most recent meeting.